Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 3.704842 3.943830 4.201193 4.500936 4.843051 5.224609 5.687050
2025-08-03 3.441082 3.779080 4.165900 4.648986 5.247787 5.982880 6.983818
2025-08-10 3.152517 3.538997 4.001171 4.609912 5.416779 6.494280 8.136505
2025-08-17 2.861887 3.259993 3.750462 4.421168 5.355389 6.688544 8.927496
2025-08-24 2.659586 3.067692 3.583664 4.313364 5.377875 6.999465 10.020720
2025-08-31 2.520407 2.941095 3.486071 4.282243 5.498942 7.485300 11.661097
2025-09-07 2.380581 2.801472 3.356545 4.187556 5.504274 7.779508 13.111791
2025-09-14 2.254984 2.671300 3.228163 4.078464 5.466719 7.986231 14.527598
2025-09-21 2.141924 2.550635 3.103493 3.961188 5.396465 8.112743 15.865396
2025-09-28 2.077935 2.492373 3.061821 3.965360 5.532471 8.692562 19.266762
2025-10-05 2.077765 2.521017 3.145601 4.174146 6.071196 10.371929 31.051988
2025-10-12 2.037042 2.489684 3.137877 4.231683 6.335869 11.540101 47.576378
2025-10-19 2.020169 2.497152 3.197731 4.427389 6.967034 14.354179 208.012547
2025-10-26 1.983319 2.473789 3.209050 4.542476 7.473299 17.496872 NaN
2025-11-02 1.913769 2.398306 3.132540 4.487742 7.571999 19.239452 NaN
2025-11-09 1.823002 2.287004 2.991851 4.298092 7.295264 18.918645 NaN
2025-11-16 1.754814 2.206923 2.897634 4.189835 7.212407 19.668375 NaN
2025-11-23 1.706141 2.154146 2.844819 4.156714 7.323666 21.842305 NaN
2025-11-30 1.650241 2.087969 2.766110 4.064905 7.255689 22.843532 NaN
2025-12-07 1.595766 2.021940 2.684385 3.960327 7.133279 23.364986 NaN
2025-12-14 1.543314 1.957253 2.602040 3.848453 6.972202 23.446905 NaN
2025-12-21 1.514444 1.927818 2.577363 3.851929 7.153151 27.144060 NaN
2025-12-28 1.519472 1.950906 2.642680 4.049179 8.002123 44.930003 NaN